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The difference consists in the fact you can make this bet only after the point on the pass line has been determined. They are numbered such that they can never throw a pair, and that the blue one will show a higher value than the red one exactly half the time. When the table came back warm, I was still way ahead, using my system. A hit means to have the dealer give you another card. Have at least two different shooters in a row throw at least two inside numbers.
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Remember, take the low number from each paring and subtract one, as shown in the middle column below. Although the number 7 stands alone, you still subtract one from it. See how easy this is? You just calculated the number of ways to roll each number, 2 through 12, with two dice. See the completed table below. Without looking at the table, how many ways are there to roll a 4?
Therefore, there are three ways to roll a 4. How many ways to roll a 9? Therefore, there are four ways to roll a 9. The basic data in the table above is very important, so memorize it.
If you need help, memorize the pairings and do the simple math trick described above to figure it out. If you want to win at craps, then you must know and understand this basic relationship among the numbers. A number may be a winner when making one type of bet, while the same number may be a loser when making a different bet. Regardless, the game boils down to understanding the relationship among the numbers, particularly how the number 7 relates to all the other numbers.
If you want to be a rock-solid player and win consistently, then you must memorize it. For example, suppose we want to compare the number 7 to the number Suppose we want to bet on the 10 appearing on a roll before a 7 appears. Therefore, our bet wins if a 10 shows before a 7, and our bet loses if a 7 shows before a An even-money bet, or a 1: Is betting the number 10 against the 7 for even money a good bet? From the table above, we see there are six ways to roll a 7, and only three ways to roll a That means there are twice as many ways for us to lose as there are for us to win.
But suppose 10 is our favorite number and we want to bet it, so is there any circumstance where betting the 10 against the 7 is a good bet?
When betting the 10 against the 7, we take a much greater risk because there are twice as many ways to lose as there are to win, so we want to be compensated for taking that risk. But how much more? Again, there are six ways to roll a 7 and three ways to roll a 4. The comparison of those outcomes is expressed as 6: This expression is like a fraction, so we reduce the expression to 2: Therefore, we expect to get 2: After 36 rolls with a perfect distribution, we would see the following results:.
The above outcome over 36 rolls occurs only with a perfect distribution, which is unlikely, but useful for illustrating how and why odds are important in the game of craps. We know there are six ways to roll a 7 and three ways to roll a But with a perfect distribution, we expect to break even, not lose.
Therefore, for a 2: So, with the 2: In the world of statistics, if everything balances out after a long period of time with a large quantity of dice rolls, how does the casino make money?
The answer is simple…they screw us! The easiest way to illustrate this concept is to compare the results of making a Place bet on the number 4 or As we know from the table above, there are three ways to roll a Ready to find out how the casino screws us?
Instead of giving 2: Remember, there are six ways to roll a 7, and 3 ways to roll a In a perfect distribution over 36 rolls, we expect a 7 to appear six times, and a 10 to appear three times. On the three rolls when a 10 appears, we win the bet. Because there are twice as many ways to roll a 7 as there are to roll a 10 i.
If the casino paid true odds, then over time, everything would even out and no one would make a profit. However, the casino is in business to make money, so they only give us 9: Think about all the people playing craps 24 hours a day, seven days a week, 52 weeks a year.
And consider that every bet on the craps table has a built-in house advantage except the Free Odds bet. By not paying us the true amount based on the true odds, they make a small profit on every bet made by every person at the table, every minute of every day. The house advantage varies among the many different types of possible craps bets. Obviously, you want to avoid the bets with the higher house advantages and focus on those with the smallest.
Instead, distribution variance is what gives us the hot and cold streaks that are so common. Whatever the point, back it up with double odds. If the point is 5,6,or 8 place a double unit bet on the other two numbers, then a single unit bet in the Field. You will win on any number except the 7.
After 2 hits on any of the no- field numbers, take everything down except the Pass Line bet with odds. Let the dice roll until a decision is made, then start over. If it does, so much the better. Play this way if the table is warm or hot. Play this way until you get 2 winning rolls in a row, then return to your original play.
Four losing rolls in a row, end that session. This method keeps you busy raking in your wins, and allows you to stand at the table with a Pass Line bet even after you removed your other bets. I think it is hard and boring to stand there with no action.
Give it a try and let me know what you think. Joe Verona britestar9 home. What surprises me the most about craps players is that no one keeps track of the numbers. I guess they are waiting for that elusive hot roll, which is a rare occurrence.
If in fact you were at a hot table, you would play the basics of presses on places and comes and increased pass line bets after a win on the point number. But that is not the norm with craps. You are usually dealing with a cold or choppy table or sometimes a warm table where someone may throw some numbers, make his point, throw some yo's or sevens, establish another point and then throw some more numbers and maybe make the point.
Depending on how the player has played, the DO player should have made some money on this shooter. It is a white acrylic board with 37 lines and approx. I think you get the idea.
These markers can be removed when their number hits, then sliding the other 10 combinations up, replacing it at the bottom of the column. Half way up the board on the 19th line I have a neutral line and when the 7 crosses that neutral line all bets are taken off.
Meaning that any part of the 7 even the first attached marker and greater crossing the neutral line signals and end for that play until another 7 is thrown. Believe me, if the table gets hot this board will end up under the rail where the drinks go. I have brought the board to Foxwoods for dry runs and naturally you are laughed at by players and dealers, but if I can eke out a small profit playing my system, then I'll be the one laughing silently.
Another thing that I do not understand about some die hard don't players is when a table gets hot even for 15 min. I guess that is called discipline. I've played the don't many times but will switch in a hot second if the table goes hot or sometime even warm.
Like if I like the shooter's style etc My new system with the board does not play the don'ts or pass-line, just places the 5,6,8,9,4,10 and buys the 4,10 only after a seven out and it is a losing round will I by the 4,10 because now the bets are more than doubled from 10 units to 25 units for the 4 and This takes into account the savings on the buy bet for the 4,10 after the first 7 out.
I bet are 3 numbers at a time. All due numbers nearest to the top of the column. Take all down when 7 hits neutral line. Marking with an O with a magic marker water based on the bottom of the 7's column line on the board when a 7 out occurs. This way you can get a general idea on where the 7's are occurring the most in the column. All the time if the 7 moves to the center neutral line bring down all bets. You have to see it in action to really understand what is going on. It is a progression system but will drop other bets back to starting amounts if hit is enough on one or two wins to take you even or slightly ahead.
I only use the progression when I have NOT broke even or ahead for the round. It would be 3 of any of these numbers that are due. Again the most numbers bet 3 that are most due. Here's a practice run. Before I start to play I place a single white blank marker on the bottom of the column before starting.
This way as the numbers come out anything left above the white blank marker has not yet hit. This marker when enough rolls have been made will stay at the top for the session.
You do not start play yet. Now I will give a simulated roll The 4,6,9,11,12 are still above the white marker. Not ready to play. The 4,11,12 are still above the white marker. At this point only the 4 has not shown. The horns, 2,12,3,11 I disregard anyway but always move them to the bottom of the board when any of them hit. At this point the order of from bottom to top are 8,6,5,9,2,3,7,10,Blank,4,11,12 Roll The 10,6,8 in that order are the top of the column picks.
More if a repeat of 5,3,9 below the 7 or 2,12,11 above the 7. It has 3 markers above the neutral line and 3 below. This is because if you add up the numbers thrown previous to the 7 which are in order from the bottom 6,9,3,5 the total sum value of 15 markers plus the 3 from the 7 makes it 18 which is half way to the top. Making the 7 dangerous because once one of it's markers or more passes the neutral line, take down all place bets.
Remember when I said 19 lines to the neutral line, you have to count the 1st line. So really 18 markers fill 19 lines.
So now the 4,11,2,8,10,blank,12 are above the 7 but bets are now off until a 7 out or a point is made and another 7 on come out is made. In other words you are looking for a 7 so you can start play so wait Yes you can get burnt by 7's on come out. That's where progression comes into play. It gives you that necessary discipline to take down bets also.
I hope this explains it better. Here is a ms word doc. Right click to download-- Craps Tracker. I can win money in front of the computer, but in the casino that could be a different story.
It is basically placing the 3 most due numbers, the 4,5,6,8,9,10 I bet you have heard it all with this one!
Any comments welcome and I am thick skinned, so don't pull any punches. Anyone taking something like this into a casino would have to be thick skinned or crazy or both. This system is similar to the pass line conservative method. The difference here is that you add a come bet with your pass line bet.
It's a more complex system because you have to deal with two different points, which means keeping track of the betting levels on the odds bets for both of them. Use a pen and paper if it helps. The method is the same. For every win, you increase your odds bet and with every loss, you decrease your odds bet. Let's look at an example. The shooter throws another 8, so you win your first come bet. The shooter throws a 4, which becomes your new come point.
The next roll, however is a 7, so you lose both your come bet and your pass line bet. Remember, all you're doing is making a pass line bet and a come bet, then increasing the odds on either bet you win and decreasing them on either one you lose. Reprinted from an article in Chance magazine , with permission from the author, Larry Edell. Visit his site at Thecrapshooter. This system takes advantage of the free odds bet. When you lose you would decrease your odds bet by one unit.
Here's an example of how it works. The first point is six, and you win your bet. So far, you've won three bets and lost none. How do you think you made out? Let's follow the money. This is the power of the casino's free odds on the pass line. As long as you keep increasing your odds bet by one unit after a win, and decreasing it by one unit after a loss, you'll do much better than a flat-betting pass line player who keeps making the same wager over and over again.
Place, reduce, turn off, take down. This is my favorite for the right side on a choppy table as the 5 count variation is for the don't side on a choppy table. Depends on who is getting chopped the most. When I look at this system its really is a don't system in "Sunday go to meeting clothes".
If the 6 or 8 is hit, take down the 5 and 9. Give the shooter two more try's then turn off the 6 and 8 for 3 try's or whatever suits you. Turn back on for 2 try's hit or miss and then take them down. If you lose both the 6 and 8 you break even. When I say across I don't mean all the numbers. Impatience and greed are the biggest threats to your bankroll. I specifically don't play the odds so that I may use that money on the 6 and 8 which are more likely to hit.
I wait for three hits since 4 is about the average time before a 7 appears and then take all money down. I would also take full odds. Two or three hits and I take down. The numbers may not add up as far as the odds are concerned, but the bottom line is that once I started using the house's money I increased my bets to the point that at any one time if I didn't hit I would be right back where I started from and not in the negative.
Just to add, I don't do odds bets on 4, 9, and I play the field which concentrates more money on more numbers to include the 4, 9, Also, the field bet should be more than the place bet if the point is 5. This way I still make money if the point is made. After a day of consistent and fast losing at the tables in Reno , I tried to come up with some method that might stem the tide. I normally don't bet the pass line or don't pass line so I really don't care if the shooter makes the point or not.
I just want to win a bet before that seven shows. I came up with a variation of the 7 method. I use it for 6 and 8 place bets, but you can use it for 5 and 9 or any other combination that you'd like. You leave the bets working till one of them is hit. Then you take them down and wait for the end of the roll. After the next point is established you make 2 more place bets on the 6 and 8 and add 1 unit to the number that last won.
The 6 is thrown, so you take both bets down and wait for the end of the roll. You would repeat the process every time you win a bet. This method is good for a choppy to semi hot table. Also, if the table turns hot, you are already betting at a way higher level and you can truly take advantage by letting the bets work for the life of the roll.
The downside, as with most systems, is an early seven. Follow a single or 8. If is not rolled in 4 rolls, pull it down unless he is a hot shooter. If shooter is hot then parley the wins for times. Any win will give you profit. After any win start the cycle from unit 1 again. My records show a consistent win. Players feed back is appreciated. Here is a play I make from time to time that always piques their interest.
Let's assume we're down at my favorite gambling hall, the Perfect World Casino. It's called that because - unlike the Real World Casino - these types of plays always seem to work out there. The strategy is simple. Place all the numbers. Whenever one of your numbers rolls you take down the bet and parlay the bet and winnings to the next inside number. Once all bets have migrated to the six and eight you take one hit and down - or one hit and regress.
Now let's say the shooter tosses the nine next. Suppose the 8 rolls next. Let's say the four rolls next. Next toss the five rolls. You tell the dealer to "take me down on the five. Next toss the eight repeats. But look at all the action you have out there. Now, if you're playing in the "Real World Casino" this is the point where many of us start scratching our heads and counting on our fingers.
But what the heck - we're playing in the "Perfect World," so let's let the strategy run its course. A miracle occurs and the shooter tosses the ten. Next toss - eight hard. If you get a hit on the five or nine you take that number down, add the payoff to the original bet and press the adjacent inside number. That gets you to three units on the six or eight, where you take one hit and down.
A power-press parlay move is a beautiful thing when it works, and I've had fair success with several variations of this play on long hands by random rollers. But in the Real World Casino the seven is always lurking out there.
If you find yourself out of your comfort zone with the size of the bet, just remember that you never lose when you take money off the table. I'll assume that the reader knows how to play craps. If you don't know how to play craps, don't learn it. My 'system' will not get rid of the house percentage. All it does is cut it down considerably. For starters, I never play the field bet up to 5. I confine my bets to the following: I'm primarily a Right-way bettor, and the only time I'll bet the "don't" is when all the tables are full and the one I'm at is busting out frequently.
Otherwise, I play the pass, come, and place the 6 and 8. Most casinos offer what are called 'free odds'. What this means is that the player can place from 1 to times the pass or come bet on the number shot on such a bet and receive true odds on the number being made before a seven shows up. For example, most casinos will pay you 7 to 5 on placing a 5 or 9. The true odds are 3 to 2, or 7. Therefore, when I play, I bet the minimum I need to bet on the pass line to be able to take as much of the odds as I can comfortably afford.
My system is very simple. I don't subscribe to the 'hot table - cold table' theories. I know that tables do run very hot and very cold. But there's no way of predicting in advance when the table is going to go cold, and no way of predicting when it is going to run hot.
Craps is a very streaky game, but the streaks aren't predictable in advance. Switching from one table to the next, waiting on certain shooters, etc.
So I break my gambling bankroll into as many sessions as I plan on playing, so that I'll have money to play for each session e. When the shooter is coming out, according to how much I have in the bankroll, I'll then place the six and eight for multiples of 6, as the six and eight pay 7 to 6. I then place a pass line bet in an increment of 5. Then I wait for the roll. If a point is made, I take the odds. Then I put out a come bet. If another point is rolled, I take the odds on that.
I place one more come bet and take the odds on that. Whenever I make a point on the come, I'll place another come bet. If one of my points is six or eight, I take the place bet down. The idea is to keep a pass line bet with odds, and two come bets with odds in action at all times, as well as the six and eight, if they aren't one of the three other bets the one pass and two come. Naturally, a seven wipes everything out.
But by playing this way, you're giving up bets with 1. This cuts the house advantage down as much as possible, while giving the player plenty of action. As far as pressing my bets, I simply don't. Again, tables run hot and cold, but there's no way of knowing that they're going to run hot in advance, nor when they're going to go cold.
If I happen to win nicely in one session, I might allocate some of the win to the next session's bankroll, and be able to play more that way. But this method gives the player who wants plenty of action the best chance, percentage wise, to keep the house's advantage down, at least in my opinion.
Wait for the next 7-out, then start over! Consistency is important in this system, except as described below, if you want to weather choppy and cold tables with the system. Performs about the same on all table conditions, though you might see as much as 8 or even 10 consecutive wins on very hot tables, which is really nice.
Yes, its boring and very conservative, but I not only win consistently, but from simulations, apparently beat the odds. I'll explain my theories on that later Some additional rules to remember when using the Stokely System: Never put up another bet on a come out after a point is made, no matter how hot the roller. Don't be tempted by regressions, parleys, etc. Take your profit and your bet down, sit out the round of numbers and wait for the next 7.
Don't be tempted to take another hit except as described later 4. Groupings of multiple 7's are rare, but occur. How to handle such losses and other items are described later.
Avoid mixing other bets and especially hedges Use the same bet over and over again unless as described below. If you are good at chip tracking 7-cycles on the table, precision rollers, or dice setters, use these to your advantage in increasing your standard bet. Some reasons below for why this works and beats the casino's house advantage There are 10 of 36 5 in 36 for each number ways to roll a 6 or 8 on any single roll and 6 ways in 36 to roll a 7.
So its more likely you will hits a 6 or 8 before a 7 on any given roll. That equates to the 1. However, the above percentages as described above assume the following, and therefore does NOT apply to the Stokely System and helps explain why it works as well as it does: Above scenario and percentages assumes you keep your place bet on the table for every bet except the come out , hitting numbers until a seven hits and you lose your table bets which you are not in my system or b.
Above scenario and percentages assumes you are betting every time or roll of the dice working , and as well, leaving your place bet up every single roll of the dice till lost by a seven which you are not in my system.
As you will see, this is the least likely point of ever rolling a seven again based on the fact that 7's must average out to one every six rolls on average, so the advantage is one your side more later. So is the house edge broken?
Lets look at another reason for this I think it is but its a little complex to describe the reasoning. Over time all these still average out to cycles, of rolling a 7 every 6 rolls roughly. If we lived in a perfect universe, where the percentages were pure and consistent for two rolled dice, you could bet a series of numbers right after a 7 and after five rolls, make your numbers, take them down and avoid the coming 7.
By taking down your bet after a win, and waiting for the seven, you not only make a profit but avoid losing ANY money. I've seen many many cases where after making my one bet, the hot roller came, and I watched some big money win, while I sat on the sidelines. But my losses were almost nothing compared to the excited players beside me who thought they had a hot table.
When the table came back warm, I was still way ahead, using my system. It was very strange how consistently this system wins! Let's look at this another way On average you should see a 7 every six rolls. Its true you can hit several 7's in a row, and that would be your principal loss in the system. But then again, to balance this, the law of probability would demand that some rolls spread those 7's apart, and almost guarantee making your 6 or 8 bet during hot rolls.
But based on the averages, you still should have the In other words, the chance of rolling 2 or 3 or 4 consecutive 7's is increasingly small. Because you are seeing the laws of probability at work, whereby you should see some other number than a 7 following a rolled 7. As you begin to roll numbers after a seven, they tend to want to group every six roll.
If you do roll a lot of sevens, you can bet you will eventually see some longer rolls. I've made and charted thousands of cycles of sevens this way and simulations, and over time, you do see the 7's averaging a grouping centered around 6 rolls. The reason being, the dice cannot continually rack up large tight groupings of sevens, without equalizing out with hot rolls.
Its as if, when you actually looks at hundred of these cycles of sevens, you see players waiting every six shooter or fifth shooter for the hot roll, and it does occur in about that frequency. Because natural 7's in groups are mainly a convenience for players and a small win on a come out usually, they are ignored in the pattern, yet are actually indicators of the rhythm of 7's occurring on a table, whereby the dice go cold then hot then cold in many cycles. Why push or regress any bet, with that factor in place.
If a hot roll occurs every 6 shooters or six 7-cycles actually on average according to my stats , why through money away by NOT working all your bets after a seven, and taking them down immediately? If I knew I had five or six chances numbers or rolls of the dice on average to hit my numbers before a 7-out, I would think I would be lucky to make one!
At some future point I hope to do math on this, as I'm trained in upper level calculus, though would have wished to have had some statistics under my belt before trying this. One problem I do see from a mathematics perspective, is there are two ways to view this: But the factor of time and sequential numbering defies this fact, as does some math see below.
What do I mean by this? I mean that because 7's HAVE to be distributed, on average, every six rolls based on their percentage chance of being rolled 6 of 36 , you cant say that its just as likely to roll sevens in a row as it is to roll a spread of 7's averaging one every 6 rolls??? In other words, over millions of rolls, you HAVE to see so many sevens for so many rolls of the dice, and seeing large consecutive 7 series in a row or bunched together, is just very rare and less likely to occur as an EVENT.
Just do some sample rolls and track the sevens and other numbers on a piece of paper and their spread and you will see this occur. Placing and making a 6 or 8 after every 7, as a working come out bet, is just a much more likely event, and I also argue decreases as the rolls continue till the 7 is finally hit. I ask you in this light, as proof of this, how often do you see three, four, or more consecutive 7's at a table vs.
I see many more numbers before I hit three or four 7's in a row, if they even occur for some rolls. Why, because after the first six its very likely you hit a seven a some point!
So I do see the consistent wins on this system, and the reasoning and enough percentages to see how and why the odds on this work. Lastly, I mentioned a way to extend the wins on the Stokely System for situations where you do hit allot of natural 7's.
What generally happens on what I call a true "COLD" table, is that the number of 7's increases not the number of don't passes , and the spread of consecutive losses using my system grows to around 3 or 4, which hurts, as you have to win at least two numbers for every single loss to start to make up for it. If you have a But when the 7's come, you generally do the following to help with your losses using this extended system below actually decreased any losses I had and nearly doubled my wins!
If the single loss was a natural 7, meaning you rolled two 7's, the first being the 7-out, and the second a 7 on the come out, the probability of rolling a third 7 in a row is very small, and equal in probability to the probability of rolling a single 7 cubed, or 5.
Again, this shows mathematically the ever decreasing and tiny chances of rolling large groupings of sevens in any give scenario. Immediately, on this situation, double your bet on the next roll of the dice. Its very likely you will hit your 6 or 8. If you roll a third seven, go back to your original bet, then on the next one, double or even triple your bet.
You do this because now you are betting that 4 or 5 sevens wont occur in 5 rolls. Its very very unlikely, despite the fact someone will tell you its the same percentage every roll of the dice. That's an important reality all craps players should remember!
You will just about hit it every time! On a warm table, and almost the same for a cold, as the percentage of so many losses is very small at this point. The rest I picked up a much larger profit! If you go multiple losses with multiple 7's or a pattern of one loss for every win, you are in a very short and very cold cycle, which MUST come around based on the odds.
This almost always follows from a series of truly random shooters who sling the dice and are more likely to hit these natural 7's than a rhythm or precision shooter might do. Those scenarios are the only exception. I tried allot of systems using all kinds of full odds place bets and come scenarios which did win me money in Vegas. I generally don't like Place bets, as they are not as exciting as working free odds on a table.
Now this is all I play when i go to the casinos, period! The only hard work is in telling the dealers to turn bets on and off, and once they get in the rhythm of my bets, they understand, and a good dealer will ask me every come out what I want to do. I always tip the guys who take care of me, as it is a headache to turn bets on and off so frequently, but they will do it, and you just have to stay focused and alert the dealers and watch the money trickle in!
You will be amazed at how alone you are on the table making these come out bets, how exciting when you win them, and how fun it is when after someone rolls a 7-out, your chips are the only ones still sitting on the 6 and 8, having an "off" chip protecting them from the 7.
Its really a cool feeling. Just be prepared for those rare natural 7's, and when they occur, take your loss, replace the bet, as described above, and your wins will eclipse them in no time! That's the "Stokely System" for Craps! Please give me credit for the system and all I ask is if you use it, use the name, and then drop me an email and let me know how you did. I think you will see some positive results, especially if you combine it with a good dice throwing strategy!
Good luck and drop me an email if you see any results! This is a good crap system for a hot table or for one that has a hot shooter you can wait to get the dice. Play the pass line if the point is five, six or eight, otherwise it is optional. Pressing the five after a hit is also optional, which can be advised if the table is going well. This system will pay you on every roll!!!!
Wait for point to get established. Then place a 12 dollar 6 and 8. If either one hits drop 4 dollars go to If 30 dollar bet hits drop 1 dollar go to If the 66 dollar bet hits drop 7 dollars go to This method is based off a dollar max table if it is max on the bet just full press to on next hit. Now if you want to break the bank you can go further.
I've had success with the 66 Inside Method and thought that this Inside Method may be even better. If you make it through just one out of two rollers, you'll still be up a few dollars. Just got back from Vegas and had great success with a limited bankroll.
It basically looks like this:. Eleventh hit either 6 or 8 , I took down both numbers. Happened once at Harrah's and once at Flamingo in four days. Could have gotten greedy at Flamingo on a hot, hot roller, but got a bit scared and pulled down both numbers.
When a Pass Line Point is made, collect your pass line bet and full odds. After come out roll, resume the count don't start over. If you just place the 4 more times then not the 10 is gonna hit.